Panda, Ankit

Introduction
On November 8, 2016, Donald J. Trump, a former reality television star and real estate mogul with no experience in elected office, was elected president of the United States. The widely unexpected and shocking decision by voters marks the resolution of one of the longest electoral seasons in U.S. history and heralds the start of what could be an era of unforeseen global volatility as the United States comes to be led by potentially the first post-Second World War president who has made several public statements at odds with the principles underpinning the liberal global order in place for more than 70 years.
As I discussed on Twitter as results emerged, a Trump victory in the United States – considered unthinkable by many in the commentariat (myself included) – introduces exceptional geopolitical risk. Indeed, at once, several events thought to be remote tail risks become increasingly likely. Though I’ll revisit the topic in future posts at The Diplomat, I’ve decided to game out some of these possible scenarios in the Asia-Pacific here.
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