Coronavirus Tightens Its Grip on Rising Powers

Policy Alert #207 | April 8, 2020

As the number of confirmed coronavirus COVID-19 cases worldwide surges past the one million mark, containing the pandemic has overshadowed most other issues in both national and international politics. Emergency teleconferences of leaders of the Group of 7 (G7) and the Group of 20 (G20) have attempted to coordinate their efforts to combat the pandemic and salvage the world economy from a virtual shutdown in the wake of widespread social distancing and quarantine policies, but to little avail. In this RPI Policy Alert, we review how the Rising Powers are responding to the pandemic.

 

CHINA
As China reports that its number of new coronavirus infections are on the decline, it has begun to focus its efforts on providing assistance abroad amdist charges of it being politcally driven. On March 20, the Ministry of Foreign Affairs reported that aid has so far been sent to 82 countries, the World Health Organization, and the African Union. A New York Times op-ed from Chinese Ambassador to the United States Cui Tiankai estimated that five million masks, 200,000 test kits, and 180,000 gloves had been donated to the US alone. In his speech during the G20 emergency teleconference, President Xi Jinping emphasized the need to for the G20 to work together to not only fight the virus, but protect the global economy: “I want to call on all G20 members to take collective actions – cutting tariffs, removing barriers, and facilitating the unfettered flow of trade. Together, we can send a strong signal and restore confidence for global economic recovery.” At a press conference, Ministry of Foreign Affairs Spokesperson Hua Chunying was critical of claims that China’s aid to other countries has political motivations: “Recently I have been hearing some people in the West raising the issue of Chinese ‘political propaganda’, and I would like to ask what on earth are they referring to? Do they want China to sit idle and do nothing while other countries are braving the pandemic with so many people suffering and the number of casualties climbing higher with each passing day?” In response to a question regarding Taiwan’s donations of masks and other supplies to the US, Europe, and other countries, Spokesperson Hua suggested it was Taiwan that was pushing a political agenda: “[I]f my memory serves me right, when the epidemic first broke out in China’s mainland, Taiwan authorities banned the export of masks. Now as we can see, the situation in the US is very severe, Chinese provinces, cities and businesses have been providing assistance to the American people. If the Taiwan region can and wants to help, I believe we are all glad to see it. But if anyone in Taiwan seeks to politicize the pandemic, I would advise them to think twice and act prudently.” When a reporter from RIA Novosti, a Russian media outlet, asked for more details about a recent donation from China to Russia, Spokesperson Hua made a point to first thank the Russian press for “widely and accurately covering the Chinese government’s effective epidemic response with professionalism and dedication”. Chinese Ambassador to India Sun Weidong announced in a tweet that a donation of coronavirus test kits from Chinese business magnate Jack Ma and Alibaba Foundations had been delivered to the Indian Red Cross Society on April 3.

 

INDIA
After calling for Indians to self-enforce social distancing guidelines and observe a daily curfew on March 19, Prime Minister Narendra Modi issued a nationwide stay-at-home order for 21 days that began on March 24: “India is at a stage where our current actions will determine how much we are able to minimize the impact of this disaster. […] This is the time for patience and discipline. Until the lockdown situation remains, we must keep our resolve, we must keep our promise.” With India’s population of 1.3 billion people, this marks the largest social “lockdown” in the world. Roll-out of the policies has been bumpy: millions of migrant workers have attempted to return home as their employers shuttered, truck drivers were left essentially stranded as inter-state travel restrictions began, and health workers have suffered resistance to the setting-up of hospitals to treat COVID-19 and assault by panicked locals in their efforts.

 

 

JAPAN
Prime Minister Abe emphasized two key points that needed to be included in the G20’s response to the virus: accelerate the process of developing antiviral medicines through cooperation between the respective governments as well as actors in the private sector and for the Group to “implement bold and large-scale economic and fiscal policies.” Although the National Diet passed an amendment to the Act on Special Measures for Pandemic Influenza and New Infectious Diseases Preparedness and Response to allow the government to implement “various measures to prevent the wide spread [sic] of infection and maintain societal functions” on March 13, 2020, a state of emergency was not declared until April 6 and applies only to Tokyo, Osaka, and five prefectures

 

RUSSIA
In a public address on April 2, 2020, President Vladimir Putin announced that the initial “non-work week” would be extended until at least April 30, but emphasized that regional and local governments could decide to strengthen or relax current policies depending on the “objective situation” locally. As the combined economic pain produced by a reduced demand for oil due to coronavirus and OPEC’s retaliatory surge in production to drive prices down following a dispute with Russia has continued to take its toll on the Russian economy, President Putin held a teleconference with relevant Russian officials to ask for “advice on what actions we should take and how we should hold consultations with our partners to work out a concerted approach.”

Russian Foreign Ministry Spokesperson Maria Zakharova was dismissive of a report by Reuters that an internal European Union document warned of a fake news campaign originating from Russia: “I think the allegations that Russia is spreading disinformation and fake news about the coronavirus in Europe and the world are perfect examples of disinformation and fake news.” Regarding claims that Russian aid to Italy were made with ulterior geopolitical motives, Zakharova replied: “[T]his is real, burning jealousy that a country that is not tied to Italy by any blocs or alliances is developing friendly relations with it against all odds and is ready to offer help during one of the most dramatic moments of recent Italian history, without regard for the political context or views on the development of international relations in Europe, but out of a recognition of how the Italians are suffering”. At one press conference, Zakharova highlighted how the response to the coronavirus has helped strengthen ties between Moscow and Beijing: “At the most acute stage of China’s fight against the spread of the coronavirus epidemic, Moscow was one of the first to come to the aid of its Chinese friends. Now we are getting assistance from Beijing.

Spokesperson Zakharova also provided a reprieve from an otherwise heavy press conference by offering a lighthearted response to a fake news piece on the government’s methods to encourage social distancing: [T]he joke you quoted from the internet that Russian President Vladimir Putin will release tigers and lions on the streets is actually funny: not because it couldn’t happen, but because traditionally we set bears loose on the streets – they are more effective.”

 

  • State-owned Sputnik News published an interview with Iztok Preszelj, Chair of Defence Studies and a member of Defence Research Centre at the University of Ljubljana, who argued that the pandemic is an opportunity to “melt” relations between Russia and NATO. Sputnik also highlighted a report from University of Tehran American studies and postcolonial literature professor Sayyed Mohammad Marandi that Iran’s handling of the pandemic has been “significantly better than in the US” despite operating under economic sanctions.

 

 

RPI acknowledges support from the MacArthur Foundation and the Carnegie Corporation of New York for its activities.