Fukuda, Junichi

Abstract
China has rapidly emerged as a global power in recent years. If Japan and the US are required to counter the rise of China, long-term strategies will be essential. This article presents an overview of the development of China’s military capabilities, provides an overview of the problems that Japan and the US face, and explores the question of what kinds of strategies Japan and the US will require, based on the two concepts of “denial” and “cost imposition.” Then, examples of “denial” or “cost imposition” measures that Japan and the US are capable of adopting are given together with points to consider when employing such strategies. The article recommends that Japan and the US immediately start constructing long-term strategies that give serious weight to the possibility that, eventually, the two countries may fall into a position in the region that is weaker than that of China.
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